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Robust Inference for Univariate Proportional Hazards Frailty Regression Models

机译:单变量比例风险脆弱回归的稳健推论   楷模

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摘要

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which areone-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972)187-220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assumethat the hazard given the covariates and a random frailty unique to eachindividual has the proportional hazards form multiplied by the frailty. The frailty is assumed to have mean 1 within a known one-parameter family ofdistributions. Inference is based on a nonparametric likelihood. The behaviorof the likelihood maximizer is studied under general conditions where thefitted model may be misspecified. The joint estimator of the regression andfrailty parameters as well as the baseline hazard is shown to be uniformlyconsistent for the pseudo-value maximizing the asymptotic limit of thelikelihood. Appropriately standardized, the estimator converges weakly to aGaussian process. When the model is correctly specified, the procedure issemiparametric efficient, achieving the semiparametric information bound forall parameter components. It is also proved that the bootstrap gives validinferences for all parameters, even under misspecification. We demonstrate analytically the importance of the robust inference in severalexamples. In a randomized clinical trial, a valid test of the treatment effectis possible when other prognostic factors and the frailty distribution are bothmisspecified. Under certain conditions on the covariates, the ratios of theregression parameters are still identifiable. The practical utility of theprocedure is illustrated on a non-Hodgkin's lymphoma dataset.
机译:我们考虑一类半参数回归模型,它们是Cox的单参数扩展。罗伊统计员。 Soc。老师B 34(1972)187-220]模型的右删失单变量故障时间。这些模型假设给定协变量的风险和每个个体唯一的随机脆弱具有成比例的风险形式乘以脆弱。假定脆弱点在已知的一参数分布族中的均值为1。推论基于非参数似然。在可能会错误指定拟合模型的一般条件下研究似然最大化器的行为。对于最大化似然性渐近极限的伪值,回归和脆弱性参数的联合估计值以及基线风险被证明是一致的。适当地标准化,估计器弱收敛到高斯过程。当正确地指定模型时,该过程是半参数有效的,从而实现了对所有参数组件绑定的半参数信息。还证明了引导程序即使在错误指定的情况下也可以为所有参数提供有效的推断。我们在几个示例中分析性地证明了可靠推断的重要性。在一项随机临床试验中,如果同时指定了其他预后因素和脆弱性分布,则可以对治疗效果进行有效测试。在协变量的某些条件下,回归参数的比率仍可识别。该过程的实用性在非霍奇金淋巴瘤数据集上进行了说明。

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